Super Tuesday, the biggest day of the US presidential primary season, arrives early next month and promises to have a decisive, if perhaps somewhat anticlimactic, impact on the respective Republican and Democratic races.
As things stand, it seems almost certain that Donald Trump will once again be the Republican Party’s presidential nominee in 2024, having scored big victories in the Iowa and U.S. Virgin Islands caucuses and the New Hampshire primary. and Nevada.
All but one of her rivals have fallen, leaving only the well-funded but underperforming former UN ambassador Nikki Haley still teetering.
But even she may not make it to Super Tuesday (although she has promised she will), since the next Republican primary will be held in her home state of South Carolina and current polls indicate that the former governor of the state of Palmetto could take another beating. on her own turf, an added humiliation after she received fewer votes than the “none of these candidates” box on Nevada ballots.
“Is there any way to call elections for next Tuesday?” A cocky Mr. Trump gloated on stage in Las Vegas after that result.
“That’s all I want. I want to call elections for next Tuesday.”
However, if Ms. Haley can somehow pull off a surprise victory in South Carolina on February 24 or Michigan on February 27, it will be the start of Super Tuesday and we could be in for a very interesting evening.
The Democratic race appears similarly one-sided, with President Joe Biden apparently determined to once again be his party’s nominee as he seeks a second term in the White House, despite concerns about his advanced age and consistently poor polls.
Following Marianne Williamson’s withdrawal, Minnesota Congressman Dean Phillips remains the president’s last remaining challenger and is likely too low-profile to make an impact, as President Biden handily won the New Hampshire primary without even appearing on the Granite State ballot thanks to a grassroots report. -In bell.
Here’s everything you need to know about Super Tuesday in time for its arrival.
What is it?
The phrase “Super Tuesday” has been in use since at least 1976 and marks the day on the calendar on which the largest number of states hold primaries so that their voters can choose their preferred presidential candidates.
Typically involving 15 states, the occasion offers candidates a chance to definitively make their mark on their party’s nomination race and often serves to convince their rivals that they no longer have a compelling path to victory and should suspend their campaigns.
This year, the big day falls on Tuesday, March 5.
In the past it has been held in February, but it is usually in early March and always after the states designated for early voting have expressed their opinion.
What states participate?
Fifteen states and one territory will hold Republican and Democratic primaries on Super Tuesday this year.
They are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia, with American Samoa also joining the party.
Additionally, the Democratic race will also receive votes from registered Democrats living abroad and in the Northern Mariana Islands and will ultimately produce an answer as to who won Iowa, like the mail-in votes that have been coming in for several weeks in that state. are tallied and compiled (but don’t hold your breath: it’s almost certainly going to be President Biden).
While most polls close around 7 p.m. or 8 p.m., results are typically not announced until much later in the evening, and some of the larger states involved, such as California and Texas, take longer to count. the ballots.
How many delegates will be awarded?
With so many states involved, Super Tuesday is the date when the largest number of delegates are awarded to the Republican and Democratic summer conventions.
This year, 874 of the GOP’s 2,429 delegates, about 36 percent, will be awarded on March 5, as will 1,439, or about 30 percent, of Democratic delegates.
Ahead of the South Carolina and Michigan primaries, Trump He is currently 63Ms. Haley 17 and Texas pastor Ryan Binkley zero, while former candidates Ron DeSantis and Vivek Ramaswamy scored nine and three respectively in Iowa before dropping out.
Trump is therefore off to a good start in his quest for the 1,215 he needs to secure the Republican nomination.
In the Democratic race, President Biden has 91 of the 1,968 delegates he needs to be confirmed as a candidate. Mr. Phillips has zero.
While Super Tuesday is hugely significant, a strong performance by a candidate does not necessarily translate into a victory in the presidential election the following November: Democrat John Kerry dominated the primary on that day 20 years ago, but ended up losing to Republican George W. Bush at the national level.
How can I follow Super Tuesday?
The independent will bring you the latest results on our dedicated live blog, as well as all the top stories across our site and social media channels on what promises to be a busy, if not entirely amazing, day.
Major US news networks, including CNN, MSNBC and Fox News, will also provide live coverage throughout the day to track the national picture.